Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 15.671031 18.191637 20.928719 24.114071 27.711273 31.639623 36.245940
2025-08-24 11.046639 14.404146 18.416552 23.528163 29.826305 37.289398 46.754684
2025-08-31 8.137170 11.669635 16.230069 22.468150 30.685755 41.038116 54.946476
2025-09-07 6.741489 10.459059 15.570588 22.971796 33.246754 46.816394 65.861963
2025-09-14 5.715803 9.512817 15.032232 23.428774 35.620130 52.373799 76.759775
2025-09-21 4.714856 8.397061 14.041579 23.036854 36.652109 56.056459 85.247398
2025-09-28 3.877527 7.373553 13.012215 22.400984 37.173014 58.943787 92.693996
2025-10-05 3.636377 7.286608 13.415720 23.976999 41.098721 66.988229 108.049640
2025-10-12 3.369148 7.103462 13.621735 25.226817 44.580217 74.556054 123.118228
2025-10-19 2.990457 6.649857 13.299768 25.543472 46.557703 79.905053 135.090923
2025-10-26 2.645212 6.199504 12.917927 25.696496 48.242233 84.855296 146.676570
2025-11-02 2.287789 5.661206 12.300476 25.351810 49.026157 88.367159 156.131828
2025-11-09 1.928514 5.078984 11.570475 24.812756 49.585708 91.810959 166.149903
2025-11-16 1.604642 4.514189 10.804296 24.137047 49.879373 94.902607 175.932336
2025-11-23 1.299764 3.922418 9.886265 23.040960 49.277317 96.385640 183.077973
2025-11-30 1.166565 3.724128 9.777720 23.553568 51.729538 103.353835 199.990088
2025-12-07 1.047190 3.534455 9.657565 24.020174 54.117245 110.338038 217.298898
2025-12-14 0.891490 3.206402 9.163926 23.619625 54.737062 114.114543 229.104708
2025-12-21 0.746534 2.870146 8.592880 22.969802 54.774666 116.781305 239.020942
2025-12-28 0.728969 2.920448 8.994863 24.580276 59.630203 128.847315 266.757207
2026-01-04 0.695601 2.912574 9.244719 25.857203 63.867895 139.947777 293.216846
2026-01-11 0.625711 2.765316 9.102810 26.180697 66.071460 147.200938 312.798064
2026-01-18 0.557799 2.606222 8.902975 26.337022 67.912859 153.830176 331.499797